Historical archive · Hit rate
Who actually hits in the draft
Every verified class crossed against its real NFL outcome. See which positions, rounds, colleges and franchises actually return players who deliver.
2010–2026 window1,000 graded prospects43% overall hit rate26 elite careers
Position
Outcome distribution
Sample
Hit %
LB
n=124
47%
CB
n=115
50%
WR
n=114
42%
DE
n=93
47%
S
n=93
42%
RB
n=93
40%
DT
n=80
40%
TE
n=53
47%
QB
n=48
31%
T
n=38
66%
G
n=24
58%
OL
n=24
29%
OG
n=17
24%
DL
n=17
6%
OT
n=16
13%
C
n=12
42%
K
n=9
67%
DB
n=9
0%
SAF
n=7
14%
P
n=5
80%
EDGE
n=5
20%
How to read the bar
EliteStarStarterRole-playerBust