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Retrospective scouting report · Class of 2023R6 · #215
RB· Round 6

Zach
Evans.

Zach Evans
Bomb Grade
46.3/100

Mississippi official athletic logoMississippi· 5'11"· 202 lb

/ Recruiting profile
★★★☆☆stars.8748
National · #663HS class · 2022
Rockwall-Heath, TX
247Sports composite via CFBD
R6 · #215 · LAR

"The most explosive runner in the class that nobody ever trusted with a full workload, Evans forced teams to decide whether a five-star gear still counts when it has never been asked to carry an offense."Pre-draft read

01Play style

Evans is a one-cut zone runner who works from depth in the gun and needs only a single clean crease. He presses the front side with patient, gliding steps, then drops his outside foot and gets vertical in one motion instead of dancing. The burst separates: he hits top speed inside two strides and turns a four-yard gain into a chunk run before the safety can fill.

Behind the speed is real contact balance for a back listed around 200 pounds. He runs through arm tackles, spins off glancing hits and finishes falling forward. He is a functional checkdown receiver without being a route weapon, and his pass protection is willing but unrefined. The signature is long speed: once he clears the second level, pursuit angles stop working.

02Scheme fit
Ideal system

Outside and mid zone running game that gives him a single decisive read and lets his acceleration attack the edge of the second level.

Gun single backOffset zone backSwing/checkdown optionRotational change-up
Best role

Year 1: change-of-pace back on early downs and a core special-teams body. Ceiling: explosive 1B in a committee zone backfield.

Wrong fit

Gap/duo power offense that asks him to grind between the tackles for 20 carries and stay on the field to protect on third down.

His value lives on first and second down; the passing-down role has to be earned, not assumed.

03Film room

Zach Evans Ole Miss RB Highlights || Smoothest RB In The Draft

Pre-draft cutup of his Ole Miss season: one-cut zone runs and long speed once he clears the second level.

Zach Evans || Ole Miss Rebels Running Back || 2022 Junior Highlights

Full 2022 junior-year reel, his only season with a lead-back volume of carries.

Zach Evans || TCU Horned Frogs Running Back || 2021 Sophomore Highlights

TCU sophomore tape from the six-game season in which he averaged just over seven yards per carry.

04The evaluation

The evaluation starts with a talent question, not a production question. Evans arrived as the No. 1 running back recruit in the 2020 class and never stopped looking the part in flashes: a big-play back with legitimate breakaway speed, natural feet and the acceleration to make one missed gap fatal. On tape he is a starter-caliber runner in a zone scheme.

The context is messier than the highlight reel. He never carried a full workload — 54 carries as a TCU freshman, 92 in a six-game sophomore season, then 144 in his lone Ole Miss year, where he averaged 6.5 yards a carry and scored nine times. His recruitment was chaotic, his TCU exit came through the portal after injuries and a crowded backfield capped his usage, and he never became the every-down back his ability suggested. Availability, not ability, defined the file.

The pre-draft process did not help. A hamstring injury kept him from testing at the combine, so teams left Indianapolis without a verified 40 time and had to project his speed off tape and an Ole Miss pro day. Dane Brugler slotted him as the tenth back in the class, and most boards carried a Day 3 grade with a third-round flash if the medicals and the workload questions cleared. The Rams, comfortable buying traits late, took the swing at 215 at almost no risk.

05Strengths
  1. 01

    Home-run speed

    Legitimate breakaway gear that turns an ordinary crease into a 50-yard run; he averaged over seven yards a carry across both TCU seasons on explosives, not volume.

  2. 02

    One-cut decisiveness

    Presses the front side and gets north in a single plant, which makes him a natural fit for outside and mid zone rather than a gap-scheme grinder.

  3. 03

    Instant acceleration

    Reaches full speed within two strides, so small creases become explosive gains before second-level defenders can close their angle.

  4. 04

    Contact balance

    Runs through arm tackles and glancing hits at a lean playing weight, spinning off contact and consistently finishing forward instead of going down on first touch.

  5. 05

    Vision on the move

    Finds the cutback late without slowing down, layering a second read into the run once the front side has been walled off by the defense.

06Concerns
  1. 01

    Availability

    Missed time in every college season and played only six games as a sophomore; a hamstring injury also cost him the combine, leaving teams with no verified testing.

  2. 02

    Untested workload

    Never handled a starter's volume, topping out at 144 carries in a season, so the projection to a three-down role rests entirely on tape rather than proof.

  3. 03

    Pass protection

    Willing but unrefined in blitz pickup; his eyes and hand placement lag behind his effort, which limits him on obvious passing downs as a rookie.

  4. 04

    Receiving role

    Used as a checkdown and swing option rather than a route runner, with almost no work detached from the formation and little tree beyond the flat.

08College production
YrTeamGAttYdsTDRecRecYds
2020TCU9544154876
2021TCU692648510130
2022Ole Miss12144936912119
Career2729019991830325

Verified season by season on cfbstats.com; season totals sum exactly to the career line (290 carries, 1,999 rushing yards, 18 rushing touchdowns).

A dash means the figure is not published by a source we trust — never a zero we invented.

/ Efficiency, 2024
below average
Predicted Points Added / play
-0.023
percentile at position
25%
PPA · pass
-0.433
PPA · rush
+0.159
CFBD PPA — 0 = league-average play
/ Usage share, 2024
10.6%of team plays
59 percentile at positionNorth Texas
Pass plays · 6.1%Run plays · 15.8%Third down · 8.3%Passing downs · 8.9%
CFBD usage — share of the offense's plays involving the player
09Pro comparisons
/ Likely outcome
Tyler AllgeierAtlanta Falcons

A Day 3 zone runner who carves out real early-down carries in a committee without ever owning the passing downs.

/ Ceiling
Jamaal CharlesKansas City Chiefs

The optimistic version of the archetype: a lean one-cut zone back whose long speed made every crease a scoring threat.

/ Floor
Trey SermonSan Francisco 49ers

Highly regarded college talent who never locked down a role, bounced between rosters and faded off depth charts.

10In hindsight

Everything above is the pre-draft evaluation. This section is what actually happened — updated year over year.

Pro Bowls
0
All-Pro
0
Seasons
Career AV

The NFL career never got off the ground. Evans made the Rams roster as a rookie in 2023 and appeared in 10 games, but almost entirely on special teams: nine carries for 19 yards and no touchdowns behind Kyren Williams. Los Angeles cut him in the 2024 roster trim, brought him back to the practice squad, then released him again a day later on August 29. The Jets signed him to their practice squad that December and gave him a reserve/futures deal in January 2025, but he never dressed for a regular-season game with them. In July 2025 New York placed him on the reserve/retired list and waived him from it the following day; he had stepped away from football with 19 professional rushing yards to his name.

In hindsight this was not a scouting miss so much as a career that never found stable ground. The talent was real — the 2022 Ole Miss tape still shows a runner with a gear most Day 3 backs do not have — and the sixth-round price meant the Rams risked nothing to find out. What the file kept telling teams was that he had never been trusted with a full workload and had never stayed on the field long enough to earn one, and that pattern followed him to the league. Running back is the least forgiving position for a player who cannot separate himself in protection or on coverage units, and Evans could not. The grade was right; the ceiling never got a real audition.

The Draft Bomb · retrospective scouting profile