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Retrospective scouting report · Class of 2022R4 · #129
TE· Round 4

Jake
Ferguson.

Jake Ferguson, Wisconsin scouting portrait
Bomb Grade
56.8/100

Wisconsin official athletic logoWisconsin· 6'5"· 250 lb· 4.81s 40

/ Recruiting profile
★★★★☆stars.8906
National · #351HS class · 2017
James Madison Memorial, WI
247Sports composite via CFBD
R4 · #129 · DAL

"Barry Alvarez's grandson came out of Wisconsin as the safest, least explosive tight end in the class, and the entire projection rested on whether hands and toughness could carry a player with no vertical gear."Pre-draft read

01Play style

Ferguson is a true in-line Y tight end out of the Wisconsin factory: attached, physical, and asked to block first and catch second. His routes are built on stems and leverage rather than speed, and he is at his best working the seam and the intermediate middle, where he uses his frame to shield defenders and present a wide target on timing throws.

He is a plus hands-catcher who plays through contact and rarely lets the ball into his body. The athletic profile is average and he will not threaten a defense vertically, but he is a functional blocker in zone and gap runs who understands angles well enough to hold the edge. The identity is dependability: a chain-mover who is always where the quarterback expects him.

02Scheme fit
Ideal system

A play-action offense with a rhythm passer who lives on intermediate timing throws and keeps a true Y attached in 11 and 12 personnel.

In-line YSlotWingThird-down checkdown
Best role

Year 1: TE2 blocking on early downs and working the seam on play-action. Ceiling: a 70-catch starting Y who is the quarterback's third-down safety valve.

Wrong fit

A vertical-shot offense that asks its tight end to run seams against single-high safeties and win one-on-one downfield, where his lack of burst makes him a wasted route.

He needs a quarterback who will take the completion in front of him; in an offense that only throws downfield he disappears.

03Film room

Jake Ferguson 2021 Mix

Senior-season cut-up showing the seam work and contested catches over the middle.

Jake Ferguson Highlights

Career reel covering his four years as a Wisconsin starter, blocking reps included.

Jake Ferguson Senior Bowl highlights

All-star week tape against NFL-caliber coverage, the best look at how he separates.

04The evaluation

Ferguson entered the 2022 draft as one of the safest tight ends on the board and one of the least exciting. Four years as a starter at Wisconsin gave him more than 1,600 receiving yards in a run-first offense that rarely threw to the position, and his tape read like a developed pro rather than a projection. He caught everything in his catch radius, understood coverage, and blocked with technique instead of pure power.

The limitations were just as clear. He does not have the burst to separate from NFL linebackers, his production dropped in efficiency each year as Wisconsin's passing game shrank around him, and he was never a red-zone weapon. He did not test as a top-tier athlete, and in a class stacked with move tight ends he profiled as the classic complementary Y — a player whose value depended on landing with a quarterback who trusts his checkdown and an offense that plays in 12 personnel.

He also carried the Wisconsin bloodline: his grandfather is Barry Alvarez, the coach who built the program. Evaluators liked the toughness and the football IQ. Most boards had him as a mid-to-late Day 3 starter-in-time, and Dallas took him at 129 with a specific idea of what he would become.

05Strengths
  1. 01

    Hands and ball security

    a natural plucker who catches away from his frame in traffic and finished four college seasons with almost no drop or fumble concerns on 145 receptions.

  2. 02

    Seam and middle-of-field feel

    sits down in zone, reads leverage and adjusts his stem, which makes him the easiest checkdown in the progression for a pressured quarterback.

  3. 03

    In-line blocking technique

    Wisconsin trained him to block attached, and he sustains with angles and hand placement rather than trying to overpower edge defenders.

  4. 04

    Four-year starting experience

    began starting as a freshman and never came off the field, arriving with the route tree and protection rules of a second-year pro already learned.

  5. 05

    Competitive toughness

    plays through contact over the middle and finishes catches with defenders draped on him, a trait that shows up on third down more than in highlight cut-ups.

06Concerns
  1. 01

    No vertical threat

    a straight-line athlete who cannot stress a safety, which caps the offense's ability to use him as a mismatch on play-action shots.

  2. 02

    Limited after the catch

    his yards-per-catch fell every season at Wisconsin, ending at 9.8 as a senior, and he rarely breaks the first tackle in space.

  3. 03

    Not a displacement blocker

    functional rather than dominant, and NFL edge setters can hold their ground against him on down blocks in gap schemes.

  4. 04

    Red-zone production never matched the frame

    only 13 touchdowns across 47 college games despite being the offense's most reliable target inside the numbers.

07Athletic testing
Height
6'5"
Weight
250 lb
40 yd
4.81s
Vertical
31.5"
Broad
9'10"
3-cone
7.03s
Shuttle
4.48s
Bench
15
06Athletic profilevs. TE on Big Board
40VERTBRD3CSHTLBNCH

— — — positional median (p50)

40 yd
4.81sp50
Vertical
31.5inp50
Broad jump
118inp50
Three-cone
7.03sp50
Shuttle
4.48sp50
Bench
15repp50
08College production
YrTeamGRecYdsTD
2018Wisconsin13364564
2019Wisconsin14334072
2020Wisconsin7303054
2021Wisconsin13464503
Career—47145161813

The 2020 and 2021 seasons are verified on cfbstats (Wisconsin team 796, player 1090053): seven games with 30 catches for 305 yards and four touchdowns in 2020, and 13 games with 46 catches for 450 yards and three touchdowns in 2021. Sports-Reference supplies the 2018 and 2019 lines, and Fox Sports independently reports the same games-played and yardage for all four years. The four seasons sum exactly to the career line of 47 games, 145 receptions, 1,618 yards and 13 touchdowns. He recorded no rushing attempts in college, so that category is omitted rather than filled with zeros.

A dash means the figure is not published by a source we trust — never a zero we invented.

/ Usage share, 2021
6.3%of team plays
89 percentile at positionWisconsin
Pass plays · 17.1%Run plays · 0.0%Third down · 12.9%Passing downs · 13.8%
CFBD usage — share of the offense's plays involving the player
09Pro comparisons
/ Likely outcome
Tyler HigbeeLos Angeles Rams

Reliable in-line starter who blocks, catches 60 passes and anchors the middle of the field without stressing coverage.

/ Ceiling
Jason WittenDallas Cowboys

Same job in the same building: unspectacular athlete who becomes a decade-long volume target on timing routes.

/ Floor
Ross DwelleySan Francisco 49ers

Backup Y whose hands keep him employed but who never earns a real target share.

10In hindsight

Everything above is the pre-draft evaluation. This section is what actually happened — updated year over year.

Pro Bowls
2
All-Pro
0
Seasons
—
Career AV
—

He was a background player in Dallas for exactly one year. Ferguson caught 19 passes as a rookie behind Dalton Schultz, then inherited the job in 2023 and turned into Dak Prescott's most trusted target: 71 receptions for 761 yards and five touchdowns, a Pro Bowl selection in his second season. A concussion and a knee injury dragged 2024 down to 14 games and zero touchdowns, but he bounced back in 2025 with 82 catches, 600 yards and eight scores, and Dallas made him the highest-paid tight end in franchise history on a four-year, $52 million extension with $30 million guaranteed.

Through five seasons he has 237 receptions for 2,078 yards and 17 touchdowns, and he opened 2026 with two touchdowns in the first two games. That is an unambiguous win at pick 129. Everything scouts liked — the hands, the seam feel, the availability — translated, and the one thing they worried about, the lack of explosiveness, has only capped his ceiling rather than his role. He is not a top-five tight end, but he is a paid, productive starter on a team that cannot imagine its passing game without him.

The Draft Bomb · retrospective scouting profile