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The Draft Bomb
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Retrospective scouting report · Class of 2022Consensus #029
G· Round 1

Cole
Strange.

Cole Strange
Bomb Grade
78.2/100
Pre-draft #29

Chattanooga official athletic logoChattanooga· 6'5"· 307 lb· 5.03s 40

/ Recruiting profile
★★☆☆☆stars.7533
National · #3789HS class · 2016
Farragut, TN
247Sports composite via CFBD
R1 · #29 · New England Patriots

"The most-mocked pick of the 2022 first round: a five-year Chattanooga guard whose movement skills were real and whose draft slot never was."Pre-draft read

01Play style

Strange was a five-year starter at left guard for Chattanooga who played the position like an athlete rather than a mauler. His value came from movement: he pulled, climbed to linebackers, and reached playside defenders on zone concepts with the kind of foot speed most 300-pound guards do not have. In a wide-zone offense he was already at the second level when the back hit the crease.

In pass protection he set with quick, short kicks and used his hands late, mirroring quickness better than he absorbed power. Against FCS competition he was rarely beaten cleanly. The signature was leverage plus torque — he could roll his hips through contact and finish a defender to the ground, and he played with a snarl.

02Scheme fit
Ideal system

Wide-zone and outside-zone run game that asks guards to reach, climb and pull rather than drive-block in a phone booth.

Left guardZone reach blockerPuller on counterClimb to Mike
Best role

Year 1: plug-in starting left guard in a movement scheme. Ceiling: long-term above-average zone guard, not a Pro Bowl anchor.

Wrong fit

Gap/duo power scheme that leaves him one-on-one against a 330-pound nose tackle on early downs and asks him to win with mass.

Draft him for the scheme he fits, and no earlier than his anchor allows.

03Film room

Cole Strange Moves DL in the Run Game

Run-game cut-up of the leverage, hip torque and finish that defined his Chattanooga tape.

Cole Strange Senior Bowl Highlights and Draft Ranking

Mobile one-on-ones against Power Five interior rushers, the week that moved him into round one.

Film Study: Cole Strange is a Great Scheme Fit

Post-draft breakdown of why his movement skills matched New England's zone run game.

04The evaluation

Strange was the classic small-school riser: a five-year Chattanooga starter who arrived as a lightly recruited project and left as a 6-5, 307-pound guard with more than forty career starts and a graduate degree. He was the best player on the field most Saturdays in the Southern Conference, and evaluators spent the fall trying to work out how much of that translated.

Mobile answered it. He was among the best offensive linemen at the Senior Bowl, handling Power Five interior rushers in one-on-ones for a full week, then tested well at the combine with the movement skills the tape suggested. The concerns were level of competition, a snap count against FBS defenses that could be counted on one hand, and a 23-year-old age profile that meant less growth left. Nobody questioned the technique or the temperament.

Most boards had him as a second-round guard, some late second. New England took him at 29 — a pick so far ahead of consensus that it drew audible surprise on the broadcast — betting a scheme-perfect zone guard was worth reaching for rather than trading back and risking the run on interior linemen.

05Strengths
  1. 01

    Movement skill

    Pulled, climbed and reached playside defenders with foot speed that let a zone offense scheme him into space on almost any run concept.

  2. 02

    Second-level blocking

    Consistently found and fit linebackers in the open field, the hardest thing for a guard to do and the reason his tape traveled.

  3. 03

    Hand torque

    Rolled his hips through contact and finished defenders to the ground rather than just steering them out of the run lane.

  4. 04

    Experience

    More than forty career starts at left guard over five seasons, with technique and pad level already refined by the time he reached Mobile.

  5. 05

    Senior Bowl week

    Handled Power Five interior rushers in Mobile one-on-ones for a full week, the single best answer to his competition questions.

06Concerns
  1. 01

    Level of competition

    Southern Conference reps against FCS defenders, with almost no snaps of FBS tape to check the projection against.

  2. 02

    Anchor versus power

    Set with quickness rather than mass, so long-armed 320-pound nose tackles could walk him back into the pocket.

  3. 03

    Age

    He was a 23-year-old fifth-year senior, closer to his ceiling than a younger interior lineman with the same grade would be.

  4. 04

    Length

    Adequate rather than plus arm length for the position, which forced him to win with timing and placement instead of reach.

07Athletic testing
Height
6'5"
Weight
307 lb
40 yd
5.03s
Vertical
28"
Broad
10'0"
3-cone
7.44s
Shuttle
4.50s
Bench
31
06Athletic profilevs. G on Big Board
40VERTBRD3CSHTLBNCH

— — — positional median (p50)

40 yd
5.03sp50
Vertical
28inp50
Broad jump
120inp50
Three-cone
7.44sp50
Shuttle
4.50sp50
Bench
31repp50
08College production
YrTeamG
2017Chattanooga
2018Chattanooga
2019Chattanooga
2021Chattanooga
Career

Chattanooga is an FCS program and cfbstats carries no player pages for it, so no game or start counts could be verified line-by-line and every cell stays null rather than zero. Published reporting credits him with more than forty career starts at left guard across five years in the program, including a 2020 season the Southern Conference moved to spring; offensive linemen record no statistical production regardless.

A dash means the figure is not published by a source we trust — never a zero we invented.

09Pro comparisons
/ Likely outcome
Wyatt TellerCleveland Browns

Functional scheme-fit starting guard whose value depends entirely on the run system around him.

/ Ceiling
Joel BitonioCleveland Browns

Athletic zone guard who turned movement skills into a decade of Pro Bowl play.

/ Floor
Ali MarpetTampa Bay Buccaneers

Small-school interior lineman who needed time and health before the projection paid off.

10In hindsight

Everything above is the pre-draft evaluation. This section is what actually happened — updated year over year.

Pro Bowls
0
All-Pro
0
Seasons
2
Career AV

Cole Strange has been a starting left guard for the New England Patriots, though he has dealt with injuries. He has been a consistent starter when healthy.

He started immediately. Strange played all 17 games at left guard as a rookie in 2022, a solid if unspectacular year, then tore his patellar tendon in 2023, an injury that cost him the rest of that season and most of 2024. New England waived him in the 2025 offseason, three years into a five-year first-round deal. The Chargers picked him up, and he answered with the healthiest season of his career: 14 games, 14 starts and just over 800 snaps as their starting guard, grading out as a mid-tier NFL starter.

The verdict is that the player was fine and the pick was not. Strange became exactly what the tape projected — a functional zone-scheme starting guard — but that is second- or third-round value, and New England paid pick 29 plus the opportunity cost of every player still on the board. The knee injury took two prime years out of the middle. As a talent evaluation it was reasonable; as a draft-capital decision it remains the most-cited reach of the 2022 first round.

Data note: from San Francisco via Miami and Kansas City

The Draft Bomb · retrospective scouting profile