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Retrospective scouting report · Class of 2022Consensus #034
WR· Round 2

Christian
Watson.

Christian Watson
Bomb Grade
72.3/100
Pre-draft #34

North Dakota State official athletic logoNorth Dakota State· 6'4"· 208 lb· 4.36s 40

/ Recruiting profile
★★☆☆☆stars.7667
National · #3176HS class · 2017
Plant, FL
247Sports composite via CFBD
R2 · #34 · Green Bay Packers

"The fastest big receiver in the class: a 6-4 field-stretcher from a run-first FCS program whose value was built on vertical speed and manufactured touches rather than a finished route tree."Pre-draft read

01Play style

Watson was North Dakota State's field-stretcher, split wide in a run-first offense that used him on deep shots, jet sweeps and manufactured touches rather than a full route tree. At 6-4 with 4.36 speed he eats cushion instantly, and defensive backs who play him soft are beaten before the stem finishes.

The rest of the game is projection. He tracks the deep ball well and is dangerous with the ball in his hands, averaging over twenty yards a catch for his career and adding value as a runner and returner. Against press he is still learning to release cleanly, and the intermediate route tree barely existed at NDSU. The separator is size-speed — a receiver this tall who runs this fast forces a safety to account for him every snap.

02Scheme fit
Ideal system

Play-action, shot-heavy offense that uses motion and condensed splits to get him free releases and puts him on a safety instead of a press corner.

X receiver split wideSlot on motion shotsJet sweep and end-aroundKickoff returner
Best role

Year 1: vertical Z receiver on twenty-five to thirty-five snaps plus return work. Ceiling: 1,000-yard field-stretching starter who commands a safety.

Wrong fit

A timing-and-rhythm West Coast offense that lives on option routes and precise intermediate spacing, where his unfinished route tree limits every dropback.

03Film room

Christian Watson — 2021 Full Season Highlights

Senior-year North Dakota State reel: deep shots, sweeps and open-field speed.

Christian Watson (NDSU WR) vs South Dakota 2021

Full-game cutup showing his release work and vertical usage against conference competition.

Christian Watson — Senior Bowl highlights and scouting video

All-star week reps against FBS corners, the tape that answered the competition question.

04The evaluation

A Tampa product who followed his father, a former NFL defensive back, into football and landed at North Dakota State, Watson spent five years in the most run-heavy successful program in FCS football. He was a two-time All-American and three-time all-conference receiver, but his role was closer to a weapon than a wideout: deep shots, sweeps and returns inside an offense that threw when it wanted to, not when it had to.

The volume never arrived because it could not. He caught 43 passes for 800 yards and seven scores as a senior — a career high — and finished with 104 catches for 2,134 yards, averaging 20.5 yards a reception, plus 392 rushing yards and 686 kickoff-return yards. The Senior Bowl and the combine were the real interview: he ran 4.36 at 6-4 and 208 pounds and posted elite jump numbers, testing that reframed a small-school profile overnight. The flags were the level of competition, the thin route tree and drops that showed up in traffic.

Boards had him anywhere from the middle of the second round to the end of the third, split between teams that saw a raw traits bet and teams that saw a rare athletic profile at a premium position. Green Bay, having just traded Davante Adams, moved up to 34 and spent the return on the fastest big receiver in the class.

05Strengths
  1. 01

    Vertical speed

    Ran 4.36 at 6-4 and plays that fast, eating a defensive back's cushion before the route breaks and forcing safety help.

  2. 02

    Deep-ball tracking

    Locates and adjusts to the ball over his shoulder, the reason he averaged over twenty yards a catch across five seasons.

  3. 03

    Yards after catch

    Long strider with real running-back instincts on sweeps and screens, a threat to take any short touch the distance.

  4. 04

    Return value

    Handled kickoffs for North Dakota State and offers immediate special teams equity while his route tree develops.

  5. 05

    Testing profile

    Elite explosion numbers to match the speed, a rare athletic package for a receiver of his height at any level.

06Concerns
  1. 01

    Route tree

    North Dakota State asked him to run deep shots and sweeps, so the intermediate and option route work is close to unproven.

  2. 02

    Press release

    Still learning to defeat physical corners at the line; his size does not yet translate into a reliable release plan.

  3. 03

    Level of competition

    FCS corners rarely matched his speed, which inflates separation numbers and hides the technical gaps.

  4. 04

    Hands in traffic

    Drops appear when he has to catch through contact over the middle, a real question for a receiver with his catch radius.

07Athletic testing
Height
6'4"
Weight
208 lb
40 yd
4.36s
Vertical
38.5"
Broad
11'4"
06Athletic profilevs. WR on Big Board
40VERTBRD3CSHTLBNCH

— — — positional median (p50)

40 yd
4.36sp50
Vertical
38.5inp50
Broad jump
136inp50
Three-cone
s
Shuttle
s
Bench
rep
08College production
YrTeamGRecYdsTD
2018North Dakota State891650
2019North Dakota State11347326
2020North Dakota State184371
2021North Dakota State12438007
Career31104213414

cfbstats does not cover FCS programs, so seasons come from the ESPN college ledger, with games played cross-checked on the FOX Sports season table. The 2020 campaign was split by COVID between a single fall game and a spring 2021 playoff season, and no source publishes a verified games-played figure for his combined 2020 line, so games is left null there and in the career object rather than guessed. Receiving sums match the career line.

A dash means the figure is not published by a source we trust — never a zero we invented.

09Pro comparisons
/ Likely outcome
Marquez Valdes-ScantlingKC

Big vertical threat who wins on shots and averages a huge yards-per-catch without ever carrying a passing game.

/ Ceiling
DK MetcalfSEA

The version where rare size-speed matures into a complete outside starter defenses must double.

/ Floor
Josh DoctsonWAS

Athletic outside receiver whose route limitations and availability keep him from ever holding a full-time role.

10In hindsight

Everything above is the pre-draft evaluation. This section is what actually happened — updated year over year.

Pro Bowls
0
All-Pro
0
Seasons
2
Career AV

Christian Watson has played two seasons for the Green Bay Packers as a wide receiver. He has shown flashes of big-play ability but has dealt with injuries.

Watson's rookie year delivered the flashes Green Bay paid for: 41 catches for 611 yards and seven touchdowns in 14 games, including a three-touchdown afternoon against Dallas that turned the season. Injuries then became the story. He missed time in 2023 with a hamstring problem and produced 28 catches for 422 yards in nine games, then tore his ACL in the 2024 finale after a 29-catch, 620-yard season in which he averaged 21.4 yards a reception. He returned midway through 2025 and was excellent when available — 35 catches for 611 yards and six touchdowns in ten games. Four seasons in he has 48 games, 133 receptions, 2,264 yards and 20 touchdowns.

In hindsight this is a fair second-round outcome that hurts because of what it nearly was. Watson has never played a full sixteen-game season, and the availability flag was not on any pre-draft report — the flags were route tree and competition level, and he answered both. When he plays, he is a genuine vertical starter who commands safety help and averages seventeen yards a catch for his career. Green Bay got a real receiver at 34; it just never got him for a whole year.

Data note: from Detroit via Minnesota

The Draft Bomb · retrospective scouting profile