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Retrospective scouting report · Class of 2020Consensus #086
RB· Round 3

Zack
Moss.

Zack Moss, Utah scouting portrait
Bomb Grade
63.8/100
Pre-draft #86

Utah official athletic logoUtah· 5'9"· 223 lb· 4.65s 40

/ Recruiting profile
★★★☆☆stars.8422
National · #1071HS class · 2016
Hallandale, FL
247Sports composite via CFBD
R3 · #86 · Buffalo Bills

"The most productive running back in Utah history, who came back from November knee surgery to win Pac-12 Offensive Player of the Year with 1,416 yards at six a carry and a 91-yard touchdown run."Pre-draft read

01Play style

Moss is a compact, thick-cut runner at 5-9 and 223 who plays with far more violence than balance-based backs his size. He runs behind his pads, drops his weight into contact and always falls forward. Contact balance is the headline trait: he churns through the first hit and finds the second level on plays that should have died at the line.

The second trait is that he is not merely a battering ram. He broke a 91-yard run as a senior and averaged 6.0 a carry on 235 attempts, so the long speed plays even if the timed speed will not. He also caught 28 passes for 388 yards that year and is a willing pass protector. The signature is the tackle-breaking interior run that turns second-and-eight into a first down.

02Scheme fit
Ideal system

Gap and power scheme that runs downhill between the tackles and pairs him with a quicker complement rather than asking him to carry a full workload alone.

I-formation tailbackSingle-back gap runnerShort-yardage and goal-line backThird-down back in protection
Best role

Year 1 early-down thumper in a two-back rotation taking 12 to 15 carries, with a ceiling as a 1,000-yard lead back if the knee and the workload cooperate.

Wrong fit

A wide-zone offense that asks the back to press the edge and cut back in space, where his lack of lateral shake and long speed erases the trait that makes him valuable.

03Film room

Zack Moss 2019 Highlights

The Pac-12 Offensive Player of the Year season after knee surgery.

Zack Moss (Utah RB #2) vs. BYU 2019

Full-game senior tape showing the contact balance rep by rep.

Utah RB Zack Moss vs. California Film Session

All-22 breakdown of his vision, pad level and finishing through contact.

04The evaluation

Moss came out of Hialeah Gardens, Florida, and became the most productive running back in Utah history. He carried 84 times for 382 yards as a freshman, then took over the job as a sophomore with 1,173 rushing yards and ten touchdowns while adding 29 catches, and looked like a future early-round pick.

The junior year was the complication. He was at 1,096 yards and eleven touchdowns through nine games and on pace to break the school single-season rushing record when he suffered a significant knee injury in a November practice, requiring surgery and ending his season. He came back for a senior year instead of declaring, and the comeback was emphatic: 235 carries for 1,416 yards at 6.0 a pop with fifteen rushing touchdowns, 28 receptions for 388 yards and two more scores, a 91-yard run, and Pac-12 Offensive Player of the Year honors. He finished with 4,067 rushing yards and 38 touchdowns.

The board saw a bell-cow college workhorse with a Day 2 grade and two real questions: whether the knee would hold up after 712 career carries, and whether a 5-9, 223-pound back without breakaway timed speed would be a featured NFL runner or a rotational grinder. Buffalo took him at 86 to pair his power with Devin Singletary's quickness.

05Strengths
  1. 01

    Elite contact balance

    Runs behind his pads, absorbs the first hit without losing speed and consistently turns would-be tackles for loss into positive yardage.

  2. 02

    Four-year production

    4,067 rushing yards, 38 rushing touchdowns and 5.7 yards per carry, the most productive back in Utah program history.

  3. 03

    Comeback season

    Returned from November knee surgery to post 1,416 yards at 6.0 a carry and win Pac-12 Offensive Player of the Year.

  4. 04

    Real receiving value

    66 career catches for 685 yards including a 28-reception senior year, so he does not have to leave the field on third down.

  5. 05

    Home-run capacity

    Broke a 91-yard run as a senior, proving the long speed is functional even if the timed number is ordinary.

06Concerns
  1. 01

    Knee surgery history

    A significant knee injury in November 2018 required surgery and ended his junior season a month early.

  2. 02

    Heavy career workload

    712 college carries plus 66 catches is a lot of tread for a back whose game depends on absorbing contact.

  3. 03

    Limited long speed

    Wins with power and balance rather than separation, so NFL safeties will run him down on the plays that go for scores in college.

  4. 04

    Tight in space

    Short-area burst is good but he is not a shake-and-miss runner in the open field or on wide zone stretched outside the tackle.

07Athletic testing
Height
5'9"
Weight
223 lb
40 yd
4.65s
Vertical
33"
Shuttle
4.37s
Bench
19
Relative Athletic Score
2.88
/10 · official

Relative Athletic Score (Kent Lee Platte) benchmarks combine/pro-day numbers against every measured prospect at the position since 1987. 10.00 is elite; 5.00 is average.

06Athletic profilevs. RB on Big Board
40VERTBRD3CSHTLBNCH

— — — positional median (p50)

40 yd
4.65sp50
Vertical
33inp50
Broad jump
—in
Three-cone
—s
Shuttle
4.37sp50
Bench
19repp50
08College production
YrTeamGAttYdsTDRecRecYds
2016Utah1084382214
2017Utah1321411731029243
2018Utah9179109611850
2019Utah1323514161528388
Career—4571240673866685

Sports-Reference figures including bowl games are used and the four seasons sum exactly to the 4,067-yard, 38-touchdown career line. Utah's own database lists 1,092 rushing yards in 2018 and a 4,063-yard career because it excludes bowl yardage; the four-yard gap is that difference. Receiving totals also differ for the same reason, with Utah crediting 25 catches for 299 yards in 2019. The 2018 season ended after nine games with a knee injury suffered in practice.

A dash means the figure is not published by a source we trust — never a zero we invented.

/ Usage share, 2019
31.2%of team plays
98 percentile at positionUtah
Pass plays · 9.3%Run plays · 44.8%Third down · 23.2%Passing downs · 25.1%
CFBD usage — share of the offense's plays involving the player
09Pro comparisons
/ Likely outcome
Jordan HowardChicago Bears

Productive downhill runner who puts up one strong season and settles into a complementary role for several teams.

/ Ceiling
Sony MichelNew England Patriots

The ceiling: a physical early-down back who wins a starting job, produces big in the run game and contributes to a championship team.

/ Floor
Jeremy HillCincinnati Bengals

Powerful back whose lack of creativity and mounting injuries end the career inside five seasons.

10In hindsight

Everything above is the pre-draft evaluation. This section is what actually happened — updated year over year.

Pro Bowls
0
All-Pro
0
Seasons
—
Career AV
—

Moss was never the featured back anywhere. He rushed 112 times for 481 yards and four scores as a Buffalo rookie in 2020, added 345 yards and four touchdowns in 2021, and was traded to Indianapolis midway through 2022 after five games with the Bills, finishing that season with 456 combined rushing yards. His best year came in 2023, when Jonathan Taylor's absence opened the job and he ran 183 times for 794 yards and five touchdowns with 27 catches in fourteen games, finally looking like a starter.

He signed with Cincinnati in 2024 and his season ended after eight games with a neck injury, and he has not played a regular-season snap since. Five seasons produced 61 games, 2,318 rushing yards, sixteen rushing touchdowns and 98 receptions for 710 yards at 4.2 a carry. In hindsight this is a fair third-round outcome without being a good one. He was a useful complementary back for four teams and had one genuinely productive season, but the profile teams worried about is the profile they got: a back who needs volume to matter, cannot create on his own, and whose body kept interrupting the volume.

Data note: Imported from Wikipedia 2020 NFL draft player selections table.

The Draft Bomb · retrospective scouting profile