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The Draft Bomb
Back to the 2020 class
Retrospective scouting report · Class of 2020Consensus #026
QB· Round 1

Jordan
Love.

Jordan Love, Utah State scouting portrait
Bomb Grade
79.2/100
Pre-draft #26

Utah State official athletic logoUtah State· 6'4"· 224 lb· 4.74s 40

/ Recruiting profile
★★★☆☆stars.8211
National · #1636HS class · 2016
Liberty, CA
247Sports composite via CFBD
R1 · #26 · Green Bay Packers

"The best arm in the class attached to seventeen interceptions and a program that fell apart around him, a projection every team graded differently and only one team was built to make."Pre-draft read

01Play style

Full-field thrower with rare arm talent and almost no interest in the safe answer. He could drive the ball outside the numbers from the far hash, throw across his body off platform, and manipulate arm angles to fit passes into windows that most college quarterbacks would not attempt, all with the loose, whippy release of a natural passer.

The cost was decision quality. He held the ball hunting the explosive play, threw into coverage from muddy pockets and trusted his arm to erase mistakes that it could not. His footwork drifted under pressure and his base collapsed on off-schedule throws. The signature was a junior year with 17 interceptions twelve months after 32 touchdowns and six picks.

02Scheme fit
Ideal system

Play-action offense with deep boundary concepts and movement keepers that let him throw outside the numbers and work off platform by design.

ShotgunUnder center play-actionBootleg keeperEmpty formations
Best role

Year 1: developmental backup behind an established starter. Ceiling: a decade-long franchise quarterback with high-variance explosive play.

Wrong fit

An offense that needs him to start immediately behind a poor line, where the pressure-driven footwork breakdown and the gambling throws compound.

Everything about the evaluation assumed time; the team that took him was the only one positioned to give it.

03Film room

The Gunslinger: Jordan Love 2019 Utah State Highlights

The junior season that split the league, arm talent and turnovers in the same cut-up.

Jordan Love QB Utah State 2020 NFL Draft

Pre-draft reel covering both college seasons that drove the evaluation.

Jordan Love Quarterback Utah State: Film Session

Longer breakdown of the mechanics and decision making scouts debated.

04The evaluation

Love entered the 2020 class as the purest arm talent in a quarterback group headlined by Joe Burrow and Tua Tagovailoa, and as the hardest projection in the entire draft. His 2018 sophomore season was spectacular: 3,567 yards, 32 touchdowns and six interceptions at 8.6 yards per attempt, second-team All-Mountain West and a Davey O'Brien semifinalist.

Then the program changed around him. Utah State lost its head coach, coordinator and most of its skill talent, and Love's junior year came apart statistically: 3,402 yards, 20 touchdowns and 17 interceptions with a completion rate under 62 percent. Evaluators had to decide how much of the regression was circumstance and how much was a quarterback who trusted his arm too much.

The traits were undeniable. He finished 689-of-1,125 for 8,600 yards with 60 touchdowns and 29 interceptions, holds Utah State's career total offense record at 9,003 yards, and went 21-11 as a starter. The raw materials matched first-round quarterbacks; the processing, footwork and competition level did not. Green Bay traded up four spots to take him 26th overall with Aaron Rodgers coming off an MVP-caliber season, a pick nobody in the building explained that night.

05Strengths
  1. 01

    Arm talent

    Drives the ball to every outside throw from the opposite hash, with the velocity to beat closing windows at all three levels.

  2. 02

    Off-platform throwing

    Delivers accurately across his body and from unorthodox arm angles, turning broken plays into completions.

  3. 03

    Peak production

    Threw for 3,567 yards with 32 touchdowns and six interceptions as a sophomore at 8.6 yards per attempt.

  4. 04

    Pocket courage

    Stands in and delivers with rushers arriving, taking the hit to complete the throw rather than bailing early.

  5. 05

    Career volume

    Left Utah State holding the school's total offense record with 9,003 yards and a 21-11 mark as a starter.

06Concerns
  1. 01

    Decision making

    Hunts the explosive play into coverage, which produced 17 interceptions as a junior against 20 touchdown passes.

  2. 02

    Footwork

    His base drifts and collapses under pressure, so the accuracy swings from precise to erratic within the same series.

  3. 03

    Supporting context

    The junior regression came with a new staff and depleted skill talent, leaving the evaluation dependent on projection.

  4. 04

    Level of competition

    Mountain West defenses rarely disguised coverage the way NFL defenses will, so his processing is largely untested.

07Athletic testing
Height
6'4"
Weight
224 lb
40 yd
4.74s
Vertical
35.5"
Broad
9'10"
3-cone
7.21s
Shuttle
4.52s
Relative Athletic Score
8.45
/10 · official

Relative Athletic Score (Kent Lee Platte) benchmarks combine/pro-day numbers against every measured prospect at the position since 1987. 10.00 is elite; 5.00 is average.

06Athletic profilevs. QB on Big Board
40VERTBRD3CSHTLBNCH

— — — positional median (p50)

40 yd
4.74sp50
Vertical
35.5inp50
Broad jump
118inp50
Three-cone
7.21sp50
Shuttle
4.52sp50
Bench
—rep
08College production
YrTeamGCmpAttYdsTDInt
2017Utah State12129235163186
2018Utah State132674173567326
2019Utah State1329347334022017
Career—38689112586006029

Parsed from Sports-Reference CFB career page via Firecrawl.

A dash means the figure is not published by a source we trust — never a zero we invented.

/ Usage share, 2019
56.1%of team plays
87 percentile at positionUtah State
Pass plays · 93.5%Run plays · 14.3%Third down · 69.9%Passing downs · 75.2%
CFBD usage — share of the offense's plays involving the player
09Pro comparisons
/ Likely outcome
Jameis WinstonTampa Bay Buccaneers

Big-swing thrower who produces yards and touchdowns alongside interceptions that keep the ceiling conversation open.

/ Ceiling
Matthew StaffordLos Angeles Rams

The ceiling: rare arm talent that eventually pairs with enough discipline to run a championship offense.

/ Floor
Paxton LynchDenver Broncos

The downside: a traits-based small-conference first-rounder whose processing never catches up to the arm.

10In hindsight

Everything above is the pre-draft evaluation. This section is what actually happened — updated year over year.

Pro Bowls
0
All-Pro
0
Seasons
—
Career AV
—

Green Bay did the thing nobody does anymore: it drafted a quarterback into a full redshirt. Love threw 21 passes in his first two seasons behind Aaron Rodgers, started one game in 2021 and another in 2022, and did not take over until 2023. When he did, the patience paid. He threw for 4,159 yards and 32 touchdowns in his first full season as a starter and won a playoff game in Dallas, then signed an extension and posted 25 touchdowns in 2024 and 23 against just six interceptions in 2025 with a 101.2 rating, playing through a thumb injury and a knee sprain that cost him games in both years. Through Week 2 of 2026 he has 59 games, 12,067 yards, 87 touchdowns and 32 interceptions at a 96.5 career rating.

The verdict is that a pick that looked indefensible in real time became one of the best in the round. Green Bay bought three years of development at the exact position where development is hardest, and what came out the other side was a starting quarterback with a career touchdown-to-interception ratio near three to one and an organization that never had to bottom out at the position. The interception problem never fully disappeared and he has not reached an All-Pro level. But an off-script arm talent from the Mountain West became a franchise starter in Green Bay, which is the outcome the trade-up was reaching for.

Data note: from Houston via Miami

The Draft Bomb · retrospective scouting profile