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Retrospective scouting report · Class of 2020R5 · #165
WR· Round 5

Collin
Johnson.

Collin Johnson, Texas scouting portrait
Bomb Grade
47.3/100

Texas official athletic logoTexas· 6'6"· 222 lb

/ Recruiting profile
★★★★☆stars.9225
National · #198HS class · 2016
Valley Christian, CA
247Sports composite via CFBD
R5 · #165 · JAX

"The biggest catch radius in the class attached to the smallest margin for error: if he could not win the vertical rep cleanly, there was no second gear to go get the ball anyway."Pre-draft read

01Play style

Johnson is a 6-6, 222-pound catch-radius receiver who plays the ball above everyone else. At Texas he was the back-shoulder and red-zone answer, boxing corners out on fades, high-pointing 50-50 throws and turning contested targets into first downs. His 191-yard game at USC as a sophomore is the tape that circulated: long strides, easy separation on the vertical stem, and hands that extend well away from his frame.

What he is not is sudden. He builds speed instead of exploding into it, and short routes that require a hard plant and a change of direction are labored. He is a strider in the intermediate game and a problem down the sideline, but a defense that presses him and reroutes the stem can take him out of a rep before it starts.

02Scheme fit
Ideal system

Play-action offense with a defined boundary X role and heavy red-zone isolation usage

Boundary X receiverRed-zone isolationBack-shoulder verticalJump-ball specialist
Best role

Year 1 fourth receiver and red-zone package target; ceiling is a No. 2 boundary X who wins on volume contested catches

Wrong fit

A quick-game spread offense that asks receivers to win with suddenness on option routes and slot separation

He needed a quarterback willing to throw him open on back-shoulder and fade concepts rather than wait for separation.

03Film room

Collin Johnson Highlights 2018-19 Texas WR

Two-season cut-up covering his 985-yard junior year and injury-shortened senior tape.

Collin Johnson 2018 Highlights: Space Cadet

His best full season, with the contested-catch and red-zone work that defined the projection.

Collin Johnson Texas WR Highlights

Pre-draft reel focused on catch radius, boundary body control and 50-50 wins.

04The evaluation

Johnson is the son of Johnnie Johnson, an All-American defensive back at Texas and a first-round pick, and he chose the family school out of Valley Christian in San Jose as a four-star recruit. He contributed as a freshman, then broke out with 54 catches for 765 yards in 2017 and 68 for 985 with seven touchdowns in 2018, the best full season of his career.

His senior year got complicated. A hamstring injury limited him to seven games and 38 catches for 559 yards, though his per-game yardage was actually a career high at 79.9. He finished at Texas with 188 receptions for 2,624 yards and 15 touchdowns in 44 games, a genuinely productive Big 12 career.

The evaluation was about the gap between size and speed. Everyone saw the frame, the catch radius and the red-zone value. The questions were whether a strider who did not test as an explosive athlete could separate against NFL corners, and whether the hamstring issue signaled a body that would keep breaking down. He was a possession-and-boundary projection rather than a volume target, and Jacksonville took him 165th.

05Strengths
  1. 01

    Catch radius

    At 6-6 with long arms he attacks throws well outside his frame, and Texas used him as the answer on back-shoulder and red-zone fades.

  2. 02

    Contested catches

    Wins 50-50 balls by boxing corners out and high-pointing, which is how he produced 15 touchdowns and 2,624 career yards.

  3. 03

    Big-game production

    Posted 191 yards at USC and 177 against Oklahoma, showing the profile scaled against the best defenses on his schedule.

  4. 04

    Sideline work

    Excellent body control along the boundary, keeping feet in bounds on the vertical throws that define his best tape.

  5. 05

    Four-year production

    188 receptions in 44 Big 12 games with a career-high 79.9 yards per game as a senior even in an injury-shortened year.

06Concerns
  1. 01

    Explosiveness

    A strider who builds speed rather than generating it, with no burst out of the break to create late separation.

  2. 02

    Route quickness

    Struggles with hard plants and change of direction, which limits him to a vertical and possession tree at the NFL level.

  3. 03

    Press coverage

    Physical corners who reroute him early can take him out of a rep before he gets into the stem.

  4. 04

    Durability

    A hamstring injury cost him five games as a senior, and the same pattern erased his entire 2022 season in the NFL.

07Athletic testing
Height
6'6"
Weight
222 lb
Bench
17
06Athletic profilevs. WR on Big Board
40VERTBRD3CSHTLBNCH

— — — positional median (p50)

40 yd
—s
Vertical
—in
Broad jump
—in
Three-cone
—s
Shuttle
—s
Bench
17repp50
08College production
YrTeamGRecYdsTD
2016Texas11283153
2017Texas13547652
2018Texas13689857
2019Texas7385593
Career—44188262415

Season lines from Tankathon's college log; receptions, yards, touchdowns and games sum exactly to the career totals of 188 catches for 2,624 yards and 15 scores across 44 games, which StatMuse also publishes. Games started are not listed per season in a verifiable source and are left unset rather than estimated.

A dash means the figure is not published by a source we trust — never a zero we invented.

/ Usage share, 2019
11.9%of team plays
92 percentile at positionTexas
Pass plays · 21.0%Run plays · 0.5%Third down · 14.1%Passing downs · 10.8%
CFBD usage — share of the offense's plays involving the player
09Pro comparisons
/ Likely outcome
Equanimeous St. BrownGreen Bay Packers

Tall, long-striding receiver who holds roster spots as a depth boundary option and blocker.

/ Ceiling
Mike WilliamsLos Angeles Chargers

Big-bodied contested-catch X who became a genuine No. 1 option without elite separation quickness.

/ Floor
Devin FunchessCarolina Panthers

Size-first receiver whose lack of separation and injury history collapsed the career after an early flash.

10In hindsight

Everything above is the pre-draft evaluation. This section is what actually happened — updated year over year.

Pro Bowls
0
All-Pro
0
Seasons
—
Career AV
—

Jacksonville got real rookie production out of him: 14 games, 18 catches for 272 yards and two touchdowns at 15.1 yards a reception, the best year of his career. The Jaguars cut him at the 2021 cutdown, the Giants claimed him a day later, and he caught 11 passes for 105 yards in 12 games in New York. Then the body gave out. He went on injured reserve in August 2022 and missed the entire season, the Giants released him in August 2023, and the rest was practice squad work: three games in Chicago in 2023, nine more in 2024, two catches combined. He finished with 38 games, 31 receptions, 394 yards and two touchdowns.

The pre-draft concerns were the right ones. He never separated consistently enough to earn a real target share, and the injuries that cost him half his senior year cost him a full NFL season too. For a fifth-round pick, four years on rosters with a productive rookie campaign is not a disaster, but this is a miss relative to the size-and-bloodline profile that got him drafted.

The Draft Bomb · retrospective scouting profile