Texas QB Under Pressure As Top Prospects Face Off
The Red River Rivalry put the top of the board on notice, as a new QB name emerges in the Big 12 and a top EDGE prospect states his case.
The game of the week was in Dallas, where No. 1 Texas fell to Oklahoma in a 27-24 thriller that put several top prospects under the microscope. The main takeaway was the pressure cooker test for Texas QB Arch Manning (#10). He ended the day with 260 yards and three touchdowns, but also threw two critical interceptions and looked rattled by an aggressive Oklahoma front seven.
For a player with his pedigree, it was a step back, showing there are still significant questions about his poise when the pocket breaks down against elite competition.
Meanwhile, the Texas loss wasn’t on the defense. EDGE Colin Simmons (#3) was a one-man wrecking crew, notching two sacks and three tackles for loss. He was the best player on the field for either team, consistently winning his matchups and generating pressure that kept Texas in the game. His performance solidified his spot at the top of the board and showed a player who elevates his game on the biggest stage.
This week’s board reflects that Red River clash and other key matchups across the country. We’re seeing a rise in prospects who won their individual battles, even in losses, and a slide for those who couldn’t answer the bell in ranked-on-ranked action. The quarterback class remains unsettled, and the trench players are making their presence known.
Drew Mestemaker Is More Than A System QB
Oklahoma State’s Drew Mestemaker (#18) is quietly putting together one of the most efficient seasons in the country, and it’s time to take him seriously as a top-tier prospect. His latest performance in a 42-28 win over UCF was a clean display of his strengths: 304 yards, two touchdowns, no interceptions, and a 68% completion rate. He’s now thrown 11 touchdowns without a turnover through four games, showcasing elite decision-making and ball placement.
Skeptics will point to the friendly confines of the Oklahoma State offense, but what we see on tape is a quarterback who consistently elevates the scheme. His throws aren’t just on-schedule; he shows anticipation on deep outs and the ability to move safeties with his eyes to open up intermediate windows. His pocket movement isn’t flashy, but it’s economical and effective. He feels pressure, slides to find a lane, and resets his feet before delivering, traits that translate directly to the next level.
We’re not ready to move him into the top 10 just yet. The level of competition hasn’t been overwhelming, and his arm strength, while adequate, isn’t in the elite tier of some of his peers. We need to see him perform against a top-tier defense that can disrupt his timing. Still, his accuracy, poise, and production are undeniable. He’s building a strong case as one of the safest QB prospects in this class.
Oregon’s Pass Rush Is A Two-Headed Monster
Oregon’s defense stood tall in a tight 17-15 loss to UCLA, and the film showed why their pass rush is a problem for any offense. While EDGE Matayo Uiagalelei (#34) gets much of the hype, his bookend counterpart, Damon Wilson II (#15), is flashing top-20 talent. Uiagalelei himself had a dominant day, logging two sacks and two TFLs. His power is his calling card; he consistently collapsed the pocket with a bull rush and showed a refined swim move to get home.
But the pressure wasn’t one-sided. DL A'Mauri Washington (#19) also made his presence felt, forcing a fumble and batting down two passes at the line of scrimmage. He showed impressive burst for a player his size, splitting double teams and creating chaos in the backfield. He may not have filled the stat sheet with sacks, but his disruption was a key reason for UCLA’s offensive struggles.
The combined pressure from Uiagalelei and Washington paints a picture of a versatile and deep Oregon front. Uiagalelei is the polished, powerful edge-setter, while Washington brings interior disruption. The loss may sting for the Ducks, but for scouting purposes, seeing these two prospects dominate against a ranked opponent provides critical positive evidence. We’ve adjusted both on our board to reflect their high-level performances.
Storylines
- Red River Rulers — While Texas QB Arch Manning (#10) struggled with two interceptions, EDGE Colin Simmons (#3) dominated with two sacks and three TFLs, and DL David Stone (#9) anchored Oklahoma’s interior with five tackles in the upset win over No. 1 Texas.
- Indiana’s Aerial Assault — In a 20-17 victory over Nebraska, Indiana WR Nick Marsh (#42) exploded for 187 yards and two touchdowns on six catches, including a 75-yard score, cementing himself as a serious downfield threat.
- The Gamecock’s New Groove — QB LaNorris Sellers (#52) had a breakout performance in South Carolina’s 38-19 road win against Florida, throwing for 279 yards and four touchdowns while adding 14 carries on the ground, showing dynamic ability.
Board moves
A chaotic week of ranked matchups caused significant movement on the board, rewarding players who stepped up in big moments.
- Colin Simmons (#3, EDGE, Texas) — Riser — Simmons was already elite, but his two-sack, three-TFL performance in a loss to Oklahoma showed a player who elevates his game against top competition. He cemented his status as the premier pass-rusher in the class.
- David Stone (#9, DL, Oklahoma) — Riser — Stone was a disruptive force in Oklahoma's upset of No. 1 Texas, commanding double teams and still logging five tackles. His motor and power against a top-tier offensive line were evident all game.
- Arch Manning (#10, QB, Texas) — Faller — Manning’s two interceptions and visible struggles under pressure in the Red River Rivalry loss highlight ongoing concerns about his poise. He holds his top-10 rank for now, but the performance was a clear step back.
- Drew Mestemaker (#18, QB, Oklahoma State) — Riser — Another week, another hyper-efficient, turnover-free game for Mestemaker. He threw for 304 yards and two scores against UCF, continuing a run of mistake-free football that has him climbing the board.
Watchlist
- Jadan Baugh (#29, RB, Florida) — Facing a stout Texas defense, we want to see if his power running translates against an elite front seven. (Sat 12:00 PM ET)
- Jordan Seaton (#5, OT, LSU) — A key matchup against a talented Mississippi State defensive line will test his anchor in pass protection. (Sat 12:00 PM ET)
- Nick Marsh (#42, WR, Indiana) — Coming off a huge game, can he create separation against a gifted Ohio State secondary? (Sat 12:00 PM ET)
- Dante Moore (#8, QB, Oregon) — We need to see how he bounces back against Nebraska after a tough outing against UCLA. (TBD)
- Mario Craver (#58, WR, Texas A&M) — Against lower-level competition in The Citadel, we are looking for him to dominate and put up big numbers. (Sat 1:00 PM ET)
The last word
This week was a reminder that head-to-head matchups against top competition are the ultimate proving ground. It's easy for a prospect to look like a world-beater against an overmatched opponent, but the tape from games like Texas-Oklahoma or Georgia-Alabama is where true evaluations are forged. We saw several highly-ranked players struggle when the lights were brightest, while others rose to the occasion. That's why we put so much weight on these games.
It's not about the box score; it's about seeing how a player responds when every rep is a high-leverage battle against a future pro.
Newsletter
Liked this profile?
Get the next analyses and board movement, once a week.
No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.
